Wednesday, 2 December 2015

Why Crime Has been Decreasing: Math 30-2 Research Project


Why Crime Has been Decreasing
Math 30-2 Research Project

History shows we have statistics for everything; in fact, I can’t think of anything we wouldn’t use statistics for. For example, which gender causes the most accidents within a certain age group, retail sales trends, and population comparisons from country to country, which model of cars are selling in a particular year, and the list goes on. Crime rate increases/decreases from year to year are no exception but what we will never be able to know unequivocally and with one hundred percent certainty is why, in a decade, crime would increase or decrease.

There are theories, theories that would suggest we’ve made increases from our tax dollars to hire more police officers and make them visible on the street, better teaching methods to help those officers perform their duty, better security from home alarm systems, etc. Another theory that is getting a lot attention these days is social media. We all heard stories of how facebook has helped catch people on the run from someone who has just committed a crime. The police call it vigilantism and warn people not to get involved but can anyone really stop this new generation of young people so obsessed and dependant on cyberspace that it’s literally reshaped everything we do today? That’s only one of the dangers of our modern tech world. Our tech world with tablets, cell phones, computers, and video game have made this new generation addicted to all the newest and greatest advancements in technology. Phone plans with unlimited access to videos and texting has made communication become almost a thing of the past.  Who can blame them when video games are so real and lifelike one might think you’re actually there. If you’re socially awkward, it’s a great place to change their real world into the fantasy they could only dream of being part of.  Some research has suggested, “the proof is in the pudding,” so to speak; video sales appear to have correlated with the drop of influential criminal activities stemming from the use of drugs or violent outburst that could lead some to act out their aggression, physically. A coincidence?..- Maybe…but think back to a time before we had video games when young people were influenced by their peers to act out on their emotions or from simply being bored.  For years, video games have been criticized for causing violent urges and then acting on them but what if consideration was given to whether video games could actually aid in refocusing that behaviour by acting out their fantasy in a more controlled environment that is safe for everyone. In the fantasy world, you can do as much damage as you want without actually hurting anyone or causing any actual property damage; basically, it’s causing trouble without actually having to legally be responsible for what you did. Kids are spending more time in doors with friends playing these games where they would otherwise be on the street. Even kids who are alone most of the time because both their parents work are staying home more often which is great for the parents to know where their kids are spending their time at.

There are some drawbacks to all these great technical advancements, some kids are soo obsessed that it can cause kids to do nothing else with their time except to play these games; what about helping around the house, getting a job and earning extra pay to buy these games instead of leaving it up to the parents to buy them and then there is homework. It’s agreed that’s it’s a great distraction, but how do we know which kids will or won’t continue with their life responsibilities; well, I guess it’s like everything else that distract us from life, we’re all prone to anyone of these depending on the distraction that we choose to engage in. It’s always going to be about choices in the end and what we choose to do with those distractions makes us into the people we become. For now, some believe, evidence isn’t necessary to convince them that video gaming has become a large part of keeping our streets safer. What do you think has made our crime rates come down?

Shelley Page






 
1990 260
1991 275
1992 265
1993 260
1994 240
1995 230
1996 200
1997 185
1998 165
1999 145
2000 145
2001 145
2002 145
2003 140
2004 130
2005 135
2006 145
2007 140
2008 140
2009 130







 
1991 10
1992 9.5
1993 9.75
1994 9
1995 8
1996 7.75
1997 6.75
1998 6
1999 5.75
2000 5.5
2001 5.5
2002 5.5
2003 5.5
2004 5.25
2005 5.5
2006 5.5
2007 5.5
2008 5
2009 5




 
1990 41
1991 42
1992 42.5
1993 41
1994 39.5
1995 37.75
1996 37.5
1997 36.75
1998 35
1999 33.5
2000 32.75
2001 32.5
2002 33
2003 32.5
2004 32
2005 32
2006 31
2007 30
2008 29.5
2009 28




Monday, 2 November 2015

Population of Alberta 1901-2011

Please stop trying to find X.
They left you.
And there is no reason asking Y.

:)




I chose this subject because of the wide variety of information available, but also because of how Alberta has now become my home and I am a part of the statistics listed being a foreign born immigrant along with having moved from the East Coast to Alberta because of lack of work.

The goal is to show the population growth within Alberta from 1901 to 2011 which is provided by Census Canada, while making predictions for the following ten years up to 2021.



  This data was acquired from Wikipedia and confirmed using the Immigration and Ethnocultural  Diversity in Canada website which showed identical numbers for year each listed.

  Alberta has seen a steady increase of population from 1991 to 2011 of about 200,000+ individuals per year, but as we have no idea what will happen within the economy regarding jobs and growth in the future I have made my estimate based on a rise of 200,000+ is to be expected for 2021.



By my estimate using the calculator to predict future population growth I have estimated:

Y = Ax(sq)+Bx+C
A = 231.8399301
B = -876539.5428
C = 828713603

Y1 = 231.84x(sq)-876539.24x+828713603

Future predictions for Alberta given the information provided show:

By 2021 we should reach a population of 4164309.
By 2031 we should reach a population of 4793071.





Immigration as a whole is a positive thing. As the population ages and enters retirement, many of those being the finial baby boomers a younger population is needed to take over and enter those now absent jobs. Immigration fuels not only the Alberta economy but all of Canada.

Exponential Graph






Please comment and ask questions below.